§ Simpson's Paradox
- The example which made simpson's paradox click for me was the extreme case.
- Suppose department
E hires every woman but only half the men ( E for every), while department N hires neither men nor women. - So in each department, women are either advantaged (as in
E) or are on-par (as in N). - Suppose we have
100 men and 100 women. - Let
90 men apply for E and 10 men apply for N. In total, 45 men are accepted (90/2 + 0). - Let
10 women apply for E and 90 women apply for N. In total, 10+0 women are accepted. - Thus, it appears as if only
10 women are selected to 45 men, implying some kind of bias. - In reality, all departments are pro women hiring. The majority of women apply to the deparment
Nwhich is hard to get into , thereby making it appear as if the institute ( E and N combined) are against women hires. - The information that is lost is that of the split up of men and women who apply to
E and N.